SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-0 (6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Bala Town |
18.67% ( 0.04) | 22.82% ( 0.02) | 58.52% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.06% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.19% ( -0.05) | 48.81% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.09% ( -0.05) | 70.91% ( 0.05) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.86% ( 0.01) | 40.14% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.22% ( 0.01) | 76.78% ( -0.01) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.63% ( -0.04) | 16.37% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.01% ( -0.07) | 45.99% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Bala Town |
| 1-0 @ 6% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.51% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 18.67% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.82% | 0-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.76% 1-2 @ 9.82% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.49% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.93% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 58.51% |
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