SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airbus UK Broughton win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airbus UK Broughton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Airbus UK Broughton | Draw | Newtown AFC |
48.14% ( 0.05) | 23.19% ( -0.02) | 28.67% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.05% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60% ( 0.06) | 40% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.63% ( 0.06) | 62.36% ( -0.06) |
| Airbus UK Broughton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.12% ( 0.04) | 16.88% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.09% ( 0.07) | 46.9% ( -0.07) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.45% ( 0.01) | 26.55% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.24% ( 0.01) | 61.76% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airbus UK Broughton | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.19% Total : 48.14% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.03% 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 28.67% |
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