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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 65.35%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 15.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Newtown AFC |
65.35% ( 0.4) | 19.2% ( -0.5) | 15.45% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.4% ( 2.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.61% ( 2.54) | 38.39% ( -2.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.32% ( 2.64) | 60.68% ( -2.64) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.99% ( 0.84) | 11.01% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.7% ( 1.83) | 35.3% ( -1.83) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.25% ( 1.7) | 37.75% ( -1.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.47% ( 1.62) | 74.53% ( -1.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 2-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.52) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.8)3-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 4% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.26)4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.21)5-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.17)Other @ 4.36% Total : 65.34% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.2)0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.52)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.2% | 1-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.3)0-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.11% Total : 15.45% |
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