SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 47.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 26.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Cardiff MU |
47.86% ( 1.68) | 26.13% ( -0.15) | 26.01% ( -1.53) |
| Both teams to score 49.37% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.62% ( -0.38) | 54.37% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.25% ( -0.31) | 75.75% ( 0.32) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% ( 0.62) | 22.73% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.59% ( 0.9) | 56.41% ( -0.9) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.9% ( -1.46) | 36.1% ( 1.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.11% ( -1.52) | 72.88% ( 1.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 1-0 @ 12.15% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.45)3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.91% Total : 47.85% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.3)0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.28)1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.16)Other @ 1.91% Total : 26.01% |
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