SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
20.24% ( 0.15) | 22.52% ( 0.01) | 57.23% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.63% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.62% ( 0.14) | 45.37% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.29% ( 0.14) | 67.71% ( -0.14) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.55% ( 0.24) | 36.45% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.76% ( 0.24) | 73.24% ( -0.24) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.39% ( -0.01) | 15.61% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.4% ( -0.01) | 44.6% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 1-0 @ 5.74% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 20.24% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 6.13% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.08% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.85% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.06% 0-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 57.23% |
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