SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
43.46% ( 1.93) | 28.25% ( 0.36) | 28.28% ( -2.29) |
| Both teams to score 45% ( -2.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.25% ( -2.06) | 60.75% ( 2.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.19% ( -1.58) | 80.8% ( 1.57) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.24% ( 0.06) | 27.76% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.66% ( 0.08) | 63.34% ( -0.09) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.29% ( -2.9) | 37.7% ( 2.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.52% ( -2.94) | 74.48% ( 2.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 1-0 @ 13.41% ( 1.02) 2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.67)2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 43.46% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.77)2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.32)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.24% | 0-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.52)0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.42)1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.35)0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.22)Other @ 1.69% Total : 28.27% |
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