SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Newtown AFC |
50.82% ( -1.21) | 22.37% ( 0.54) | 26.81% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 62.46% ( -1.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.53% ( -2.05) | 37.47% ( 2.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.31% ( -2.24) | 59.69% ( 2.23) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.01% ( -1.12) | 14.99% ( 1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.57% ( -2.17) | 43.43% ( 2.17) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.48% ( -0.62) | 26.52% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.28% ( -0.82) | 61.72% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.44)2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.19)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.13)Other @ 4.11% Total : 50.82% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.38)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.36% | 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.42)0-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.81% |
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