Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7

Sep 17, 2022 at 5.15pm UK

G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
2 - 3
Pen-y-Bont

Williams (58', 66')
Hughes (21'), Sears (25'), Walker (45+3'), Roberts (67')
Sears (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Whitmore (33'), D. Wood (45+3' pen.), Snaith (64')
Georgievsky (25'), D. Wood (58'), Snaith (87'), Whitmore (90')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

Last Six:

Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-3 Newtown
Saturday, September 3 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Haverfordwest County	5	2	7
9	Newtown AFC	5	-3	7
10	Aberystwyth Town	6	-8	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFC	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
42.18% ( -0.68)	25.79% ( 0.1)	32.03% ( 0.58)

Both teams to score 54.01% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.94% (

-0.22)

50.05% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.97% (

-0.2)

72.03% (

0.2)

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.44% (

-0.44)

23.56% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.38% (

-0.63)

57.62% (

0.63)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.65% (

0.28)

29.34% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.68% (

0.34)

65.32% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Newtown AFC 42.18%

Pen-y-Bont 32.03%

Draw 25.79%

Newtown AFC	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.99% Total : 42.18%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.79%	0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.03%