SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 57.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 17.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Cardiff MU |
57.54% ( 0.15) | 24.75% ( -0.07) | 17.71% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 43.01% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.63% ( 0.12) | 57.37% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.81% ( 0.09) | 78.19% ( -0.09) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.11% ( 0.11) | 19.89% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.99% ( 0.17) | 52.01% ( -0.17) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.69% ( -0.04) | 46.31% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.04% ( -0.03) | 81.96% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 1-0 @ 14.87% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.42% Total : 57.53% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.56% Other @ 0.53% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.44% Total : 17.71% |
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