Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 70.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 10.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.06%) and 0-3 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
Result | ||
Cardiff MU | Draw | The New Saints |
10.49% ( 0.01) | 19.2% ( 0.01) | 70.31% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 40.9% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.97% ( -0.01) | 50.03% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.99% ( -0.01) | 72.01% ( 0.01) |
Cardiff MU Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.04% ( 0.01) | 52.96% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.37% ( 0.01) | 86.62% ( -0.01) |
The New Saints Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.96% ( -0.01) | 13.04% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.4% ( -0.02) | 39.6% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff MU | Draw | The New Saints |
1-0 @ 4.39% ( 0) 2-1 @ 2.84% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 10.49% | 1-1 @ 8.94% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.9% ( 0) Other @ 0.45% Total : 19.2% | 0-2 @ 14.32% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 14.06% 0-3 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.19% ( -0) 0-4 @ 4.96% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.15% ( -0) 0-5 @ 2.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.97% 1-5 @ 1.28% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 70.29% |
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