SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 70.43%. A draw has a probability of 17.2% and a win for Cardiff MU has a probability of 12.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Cardiff MU win it is 1-2 (3.62%).
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Cardiff MU |
70.43% ( 1.11) | 17.15% ( -0.41) | 12.42% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 54.36% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.36% ( 0.15) | 35.64% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.3% ( 0.17) | 57.7% ( -0.16) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.98% ( 0.29) | 9.03% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.27% ( 0.7) | 30.73% ( -0.7) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.75% ( -0.98) | 40.25% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.12% ( -0.9) | 76.88% ( 0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 2-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.23)4-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.14)5-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.63% Total : 70.42% | 1-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.15% | 1-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.58% Total : 12.42% |
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