SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iraq | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Indonesia | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Vietnam | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 67.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for China had a probability of 13.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Japan | Draw | China |
67.79% ( -0.13) | 18.62% ( 0.07) | 13.59% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.48% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.21% ( -0.21) | 39.78% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.86% ( -0.21) | 62.14% ( 0.21) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.23% ( -0.09) | 10.77% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.23% ( -0.2) | 34.77% ( 0.2) |
| China Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.81% ( -0.05) | 41.18% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.28% ( -0.04) | 77.72% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Japan | Draw | China |
| 2-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.24% Total : 67.79% | 1-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.62% | 0-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 1.58% Total : 13.59% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
