SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chile | Draw | Venezuela |
45.35% ( -0.65) | 26.95% ( -0.1) | 27.7% ( 0.75) |
| Both teams to score 48.25% ( 0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.56% ( 0.76) | 56.44% ( -0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.55% ( 0.61) | 77.44% ( -0.61) |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.19% ( 0.02) | 24.81% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.6% ( 0.02) | 59.39% ( -0.03) |
| Venezuela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.18% ( 1.03) | 35.82% ( -1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.4% ( 1.04) | 72.6% ( -1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chile | Draw | Venezuela |
| 1-0 @ 12.38% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.38% Total : 45.34% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.97% Total : 27.7% |
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