SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 82.3%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 5.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.83%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.67%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chile | Draw | Bolivia |
82.3% ( -0.01) | 11.93% ( 0.17) | 5.77% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 44.06% ( -1.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.93% ( -1.74) | 33.07% ( 1.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.19% ( -2.03) | 54.81% ( 2.03) |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.01% ( -0.34) | 5.99% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.14% ( -0.97) | 22.86% ( 0.98) |
| Bolivia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.87% ( -1.84) | 53.13% ( 1.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.27% ( -1.19) | 86.73% ( 1.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chile | Draw | Bolivia |
| 2-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.65) 3-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.37)1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.64)4-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.23)5-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.19)6-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.17)6-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.12)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.63% Total : 82.29% | 1-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.56% Total : 11.93% | 0-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.97% Total : 5.77% |
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