SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 39.68%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Chile had a probability of 29.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 2-1 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.01%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Peru | Draw | Chile |
39.68% ( 0.42) | 30.97% ( 0.44) | 29.35% ( -0.86) |
| Both teams to score 38.79% ( -1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.39% ( -1.4) | 68.61% ( 1.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.66% ( -0.93) | 86.33% ( 0.93) |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.06% ( -0.49) | 33.94% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.39% ( -0.53) | 70.61% ( 0.53) |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.71% ( -1.51) | 41.29% ( 1.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.19% ( -1.36) | 77.81% ( 1.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peru | Draw | Chile |
| 1-0 @ 15.14% ( 0.57) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.41% Total : 39.68% | 0-0 @ 14.01% ( 0.71) 1-1 @ 13.39% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.36% Total : 30.96% | 0-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.24% Total : 29.35% |
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