SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.51%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (11.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paraguay would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paraguay | Draw | Venezuela |
36.82% ( -0.14) | 29.27% ( -0.09) | 33.9% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 44.04% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.2% ( 0.3) | 62.8% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.68% ( 0.21) | 82.32% ( -0.22) |
| Paraguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.34% ( 0.07) | 32.66% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.79% ( 0.07) | 69.2% ( -0.07) |
| Venezuela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.4% ( 0.31) | 34.6% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.68% ( 0.33) | 71.32% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paraguay | Draw | Venezuela |
| 1-0 @ 12.64% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.82% | 1-1 @ 13.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.26% | 0-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.24% Total : 33.9% |
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