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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 9pm UK
Estadio Monumental de Maturin
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Venezuela
1 - 1
Brazil

Segovia (46')
Murillo (34'), Romo (59'), Casseres Jr (82'), Segovia (86')
Gonzalez (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Raphinha (43')
Vanderson (36'), Martinelli (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Paraguay 2-1 Venezuela
Wednesday, October 16 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina101422
2Colombia10719
3Uruguay10716
4Brazil10616
5Ecuador10216
6Paraguay10013
7Bolivia10-1012
8Venezuela10-211
9Peru10-116
10Chile10-135
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Brazil 4-0 Peru
Wednesday, October 16 at 1.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina101422
2Colombia10719
3Uruguay10716
4Brazil10616
5Ecuador10216
6Paraguay10013
7Bolivia10-1012
8Venezuela10-211
9Peru10-116
10Chile10-135

We said: Venezuela 1-2 Brazil

Wins were expected last month, and if they did not arrive, Dorival Junior would have been in big trouble, but actually getting those six points on the board was hugely important and should calm the nerves and allow Brazil to sail through the rest of this qualifying campaign. Venezuela are yet to lose at home in this section, but form has tailed off in general and they will do very well to overcome a strong, but albeit inconsistent, Brazil side here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-0 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
VenezuelaDrawBrazil
21.36% (-0.642 -0.64) 25.98% (-0.486 -0.49) 52.66% (1.129 1.13)
Both teams to score 45.02% (0.51300000000001 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.39% (1.081 1.08)57.6% (-1.081 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.62% (0.849 0.85)78.38% (-0.849 -0.85)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.7% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)42.3% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.31% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)78.69% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.03% (0.94500000000001 0.95)21.97% (-0.944 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.73% (1.411 1.41)55.27% (-1.411 -1.41)
Score Analysis
    Venezuela 21.36%
    Brazil 52.66%
    Draw 25.98%
VenezuelaDrawBrazil
1-0 @ 8% (-0.346 -0.35)
2-1 @ 5.21% (-0.079999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 3.44% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-1 @ 1.5% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.13% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 0.99% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 21.36%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 9.29% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-2 @ 3.95% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 25.98%
0-1 @ 14.08% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-2 @ 10.67% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 9.18% (0.129 0.13)
0-3 @ 5.39% (0.229 0.23)
1-3 @ 4.64% (0.192 0.19)
0-4 @ 2.04% (0.141 0.14)
2-3 @ 2% (0.08 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.76% (0.12 0.12)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 52.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Paraguay 2-1 Venezuela
Wednesday, October 16 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Venezuela 1-1 Argentina
Thursday, October 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Venezuela 0-0 Uruguay
Tuesday, September 10 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Bolivia 4-0 Venezuela
Thursday, September 5 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Venezuela 1-1 Canada (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, July 6 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Jamaica 0-3 Venezuela
Monday, July 1 at 1am in Copa America
Last Game: Brazil 4-0 Peru
Wednesday, October 16 at 1.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Chile 1-2 Brazil
Friday, October 11 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Paraguay 1-0 Brazil
Wednesday, September 11 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Brazil 1-0 Ecuador
Saturday, September 7 at 2am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Uruguay 0-0 Brazil (4-2 pen.)
Sunday, July 7 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Brazil 1-1 Colombia
Wednesday, July 3 at 2am in Copa America


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