SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Chile had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Chile win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chile | Draw | Brazil |
34.96% ( -1.39) | 26.68% ( 0.17) | 38.36% ( 1.22) |
| Both teams to score 51.87% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.87% ( -0.78) | 53.12% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.3% ( -0.67) | 74.7% ( 0.66) |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.02% ( -1.22) | 28.98% ( 1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.13% ( -1.54) | 64.87% ( 1.54) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.03% ( 0.33) | 26.97% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.69% ( 0.43) | 62.3% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chile | Draw | Brazil |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.96% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.13% Total : 38.36% |
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