SM
| Current Third Round Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | China | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bahrain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Third Round Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | China | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bahrain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Japan win with a probability of 73.86%. A draw has a probability of 16.8% and a win for Indonesia has a probability of 9.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win is 0-2 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (11.78%) and 0-3 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Indonesia win it is 1-0 (3.48%).
| Result | ||
| Indonesia | Draw | Japan |
9.35% ( -0.02) | 16.8% ( -0.03) | 73.86% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 44.19% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.94% ( 0.06) | 43.06% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.54% ( 0.06) | 65.46% ( -0.06) |
| Indonesia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.17% ( 0) | 50.83% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.77% ( 0) | 85.23% ( 0) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.88% ( 0.03) | 10.12% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.69% ( 0.06) | 33.31% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Indonesia | Draw | Japan |
| 1-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 2.7% ( -0)2-0 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 9.35% | 1-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.09% ( -0)Other @ 0.59% Total : 16.8% | 0-2 @ 13.49% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 10.3% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.97% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 5.9% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0)0-6 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 73.84% |
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