SM
| Current Third Round Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | China | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bahrain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Third Round Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | China | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bahrain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Japan win with a probability of 72.49%. A draw has a probability of 16.5% and a win for China has a probability of 11.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win is 0-2 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.7%), while for a China win it is 2-1 (3.26%).
| Result | ||
| China | Draw | Japan |
11.05% ( -1.64) | 16.46% ( -1.62) | 72.49% ( 3.26) |
| Both teams to score 52.19% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.9% ( 3.36) | 36.1% ( -3.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.79% ( 3.6) | 58.21% ( -3.6) |
| China Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.15% ( -0.5) | 42.85% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.84% ( -0.43) | 79.16% ( 0.43) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.32% ( 1.64) | 8.68% ( -1.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.12% ( 3.87) | 29.88% ( -3.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| China | Draw | Japan |
| 2-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.4) 1-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.61)2-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.25% Total : 11.05% | 1-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.83) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.65)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.46% | 0-2 @ 11.1% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.27)0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.84)0-3 @ 9.05% ( 0.52)1-3 @ 7.67% ( 0.34)0-4 @ 5.53% ( 0.69)1-4 @ 4.69% ( 0.53)2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.1)0-5 @ 2.71% ( 0.5)1-5 @ 2.29% ( 0.4)2-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.2)0-6 @ 1.1% ( 0.27)2-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.16)1-6 @ 0.93% ( 0.22)Other @ 2.7% Total : 72.49% |
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