SM
| Current Third Round Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | China | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bahrain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Third Round Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | China | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bahrain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Japan win with a probability of 65.89%. A draw has a probability of 19.9% and a win for China has a probability of 14.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win is 0-2 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (11.11%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.43%), while for a China win it is 1-0 (4.53%).
| Result | ||
| China | Draw | Japan |
14.26% ( -0.01) | 19.85% ( -0.01) | 65.89% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.05% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.09% ( 0.04) | 43.92% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.7% ( 0.03) | 66.3% ( -0.03) |
| China Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.19% ( 0.01) | 42.81% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.87% ( 0) | 79.13% |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.52% ( 0.02) | 12.48% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.55% ( 0.04) | 38.45% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| China | Draw | Japan |
| 1-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4% ( -0)2-0 @ 1.92% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.18% 3-1 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 1.49% Total : 14.26% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.91% Total : 19.85% | 0-2 @ 11.56% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.82% 0-3 @ 8.03% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.81% ( 0)0-4 @ 4.18% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.54% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.74% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 65.88% |
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