SM
| Current Third Round Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | China | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bahrain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Third Round Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | China | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bahrain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Japan win with a probability of 53.66%. A win for Australia has a probability of 23.73% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Australia win is 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.48%).
| Result | ||
| Japan | Draw | Australia |
53.66% ( -9.43) | 22.61% ( 3.09) | 23.73% ( 6.34) |
| Both teams to score 58.25% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.45% ( -5.48) | 41.55% ( 5.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.05% ( -5.77) | 63.95% ( 5.77) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.52% ( -4.56) | 15.48% ( 4.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.64% ( -9.25) | 44.35% ( 9.25) |
| Australia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% ( 2.92) | 31.08% ( -2.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.6% ( 3.28) | 67.4% ( -3.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Japan | Draw | Australia |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.75)2-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.73)3-1 @ 6.09% ( -1.17)3-0 @ 5.21% ( -1.51)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.36)4-1 @ 2.84% ( -1.18)4-0 @ 2.43% ( -1.29)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.51)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.72)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.74)Other @ 2.79% Total : 53.66% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 1.61) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.42)0-0 @ 4.81% ( 1.1)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.6% | 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 1.34) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( 1.62)0-2 @ 3.29% ( 1.12)1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.67)2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.32)0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.5)Other @ 2.8% Total : 23.73% |
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