SM
| Current League B2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Russia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Israel | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Belgium | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Wales | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Poland had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Poland win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%).
| Result | ||
| Russia | Draw | Poland |
| 47.33% | 22.8% | 29.86% |
| Both teams to score 63.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.61% | 37.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.39% | 59.6% |
| Russia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.82% | 16.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.34% | 45.66% |
| Poland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% | 24.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.09% | 58.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Russia | Draw | Poland |
| 2-1 @ 9.24% 1-0 @ 7.21% 2-0 @ 6.57% 3-1 @ 5.61% 3-0 @ 3.99% 3-2 @ 3.95% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.8% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.66% Total : 47.33% | 1-1 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 6.51% 0-0 @ 3.96% 3-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.8% | 1-2 @ 7.15% 0-1 @ 5.57% 0-2 @ 3.92% 1-3 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 1.84% 1-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.71% Total : 29.86% |
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