Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 49.63%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
