Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 20.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Holstein Kiel in this match.
