Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 49.41%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Vaasan Palloseura win it was 1-0 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for HJK Helsinki in this match.
