Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 18.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Perth Glory |
59.67% ( 0.43) | 22.21% ( 0.01) | 18.12% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 50.97% ( -0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.91% ( -0.69) | 47.09% ( 0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.67% ( -0.64) | 69.32% ( 0.64) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.61% ( -0.09) | 15.39% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.81% ( -0.17) | 44.18% ( 0.17) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.24% ( -0.9) | 39.76% ( 0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.57% ( -0.84) | 76.43% ( 0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Perth Glory |
1-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 59.66% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.21% | 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.1% Total : 18.12% |
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