Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 18.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
0.43) 
-0.43) 
