SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Adelaide United |
33.47% ( 1.78) | 23.38% ( 0.37) | 43.15% ( -2.15) |
| Both teams to score 63.02% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.48% ( -1.12) | 38.52% ( 1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.18% ( -1.19) | 60.82% ( 1.19) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% ( 0.48) | 22.9% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.35% ( 0.7) | 56.65% ( -0.7) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.74% ( -1.31) | 18.26% ( 1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.69% ( -2.27) | 49.31% ( 2.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.4)2-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.19% Total : 33.47% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.32)2-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.27)1-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.23)2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.7% Total : 43.15% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
