Adelaide United
2 - 1
Newcastle Jets

Blackwood (3'), Toure (88')
Kitto (15'), Juande (37'), Irankunda (78'), Toure (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Thurgate (65')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Adelaide United in this match.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Newcastle Jets
43.54%	24.09%	32.37%

Both teams to score 59.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.67%

42.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.27%

64.73%

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.35%

19.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.38%

51.61%

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.65%

25.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.86%

60.13%

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 43.54%

Newcastle Jets 32.37%

Draw 24.09%

Adelaide United	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.05% 1-0 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 6.59% 3-1 @ 4.91% 3-0 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 3.37% 4-1 @ 2% 4-0 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.12% Total : 43.54%	1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 6.21% 0-0 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.09%	1-2 @ 7.63% 0-1 @ 6.83% 0-2 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 2.84% 0-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.56% Total : 32.37%