SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Adelaide United |
42.09% ( -0.47) | 23.05% ( -0.06) | 34.86% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 64.71% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.51% ( 0.46) | 36.49% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.36% ( 0.51) | 58.63% ( -0.51) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.13% ( -0) | 17.87% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.36% ( -0) | 48.64% ( 0) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.79% ( 0.49) | 21.21% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.9% ( 0.76) | 54.09% ( -0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 5% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.91% Total : 42.09% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.05% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.86% |
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