Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
