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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
39.92% ( 0.03) | 24.68% ( -0.08) | 35.4% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.75% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.69% ( 0.38) | 44.31% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.32% ( 0.37) | 66.68% ( -0.36) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.84% ( 0.18) | 22.16% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.45% ( 0.27) | 55.55% ( -0.26) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.48% ( 0.21) | 24.52% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.01% ( 0.29) | 58.99% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.41% Total : 39.92% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 35.4% |
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