Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 40%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
