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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 61.88%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 17.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.53%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Brisbane Roar win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne City |
17.09% ( -0.02) | 21.03% ( 0.01) | 61.88% |
| Both teams to score 52.8% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.36% ( -0.09) | 43.63% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.97% ( -0.09) | 66.02% ( 0.08) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.08% ( -0.07) | 38.91% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.35% ( -0.07) | 75.64% ( 0.06) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.43% ( -0.03) | 13.56% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.35% ( -0.06) | 40.65% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 1-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.7% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.35% 3-1 @ 1.48% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 17.09% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.03% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 10.53% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.02% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.62% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.51% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.4% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 3% Total : 61.87% |
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