Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 46.97%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
