SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Western United had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
36.56% ( 0.63) | 25.25% ( -0.23) | 38.19% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 56.85% ( 0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.18% ( 1.1) | 46.82% ( -1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.93% ( 1.02) | 69.07% ( -1.02) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.96% ( 0.86) | 25.04% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.29% ( 1.18) | 59.71% ( -1.18) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% ( 0.29) | 24.16% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.53% ( 0.41) | 58.47% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.79% Total : 36.56% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 4% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.94% Total : 38.19% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
