Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Melbourne City in this match.
