Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 46.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 25.88%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentinos Juniors in this match.
