SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Lanus |
35.59% ( 0.62) | 26.54% ( 0.2) | 37.86% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 52.37% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.48% ( -0.76) | 52.52% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.81% ( -0.65) | 74.18% ( 0.65) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.7% ( 0.01) | 28.3% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.98% ( 0.01) | 64.02% ( -0.02) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.03% ( -0.81) | 26.96% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.69% ( -1.07) | 62.3% ( 1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.59% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.15% Total : 37.86% |
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