Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3

Jun 15, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro

Tucuman
2 - 1
Lanus

Carrera (53', 78' pen.)
Rius (32'), Bianchi (44'), Garay (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Varaldo (34')
Gonzalez (28'), Belmonte (51'), Perez (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Atletico Tucuman and Lanus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Atletico Tucuman 1-1 Lanus

The sides boast identical league records coming into this one and there is little to choose between them. We fancy yet another share of the spoils with honours even at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Tucuman	Draw	Lanus
35.59% ( 0.62)	26.54% ( 0.2)	37.86% ( -0.81)

Both teams to score 52.37% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.48% (

-0.76)

52.52% (

0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.81% (

-0.65)

74.18% (

0.65)

Atletico Tucuman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.7% (

0.01)

28.3% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.98% (

0.01)

64.02% (

-0.02)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.03% (

-0.81)

26.96% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.69% (

-1.07)

62.3% (

1.07)

Score Analysis

Atletico Tucuman 35.59%

Lanus 37.86%

Draw 26.54%

Atletico Tucuman	Draw	Lanus
1-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.59%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.54%	0-1 @ 10% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.15% Total : 37.86%