Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
