SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Internacional | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | America Mineiro | 10 | -1 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.48%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Fluminense |
43.9% ( -0.22) | 22.78% ( 0.05) | 33.32% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 65.22% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.38% ( -0.2) | 35.62% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.32% ( -0.22) | 57.68% ( 0.21) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.2% ( -0.16) | 16.79% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.24% ( -0.29) | 46.75% ( 0.28) |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.39% ( -0) | 21.61% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.28% | 54.72% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Fluminense |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.47% Total : 43.9% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.78% | 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 3.57% Total : 33.32% |
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