SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Union had a probability of 21.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | Union |
53.27% ( 1.9) | 25.44% ( -0.37) | 21.29% ( -1.53) |
| Both teams to score 46.4% ( -0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.25% ( -0.11) | 55.75% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.11% ( -0.09) | 76.88% ( 0.09) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.04% ( 0.75) | 20.96% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.29% ( 1.16) | 53.71% ( -1.16) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.7% ( -1.6) | 41.3% ( 1.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.18% ( -1.45) | 77.82% ( 1.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colon | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 13.52% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.51)2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.39)3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.25% Total : 53.26% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1% ( -0.14)Other @ 1.19% Total : 21.29% |
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