Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Union had a probability of 21.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Colon	Draw	Union
53.27% ( 1.9)	25.44% ( -0.37)	21.29% ( -1.53)

Both teams to score 46.4% (

-0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.25% (

-0.11)

55.75% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.11% (

-0.09)

76.88% (

0.09)

Colon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.04% (

0.75)

20.96% (

-0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.29% (

1.16)

53.71% (

-1.16)

Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.7% (

-1.6)

41.3% (

1.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.18% (

-1.45)

77.82% (

1.45)

Score Analysis

Colon 53.26%

Union 21.29%

Draw 25.44%

Colon	Draw	Union
1-0 @ 13.52% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.51) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.25% Total : 53.26%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.19% Total : 21.29%