Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
