SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 43.99%. A draw had a probability of 31.8% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 24.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (7.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.06%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | San Lorenzo |
43.99% ( -1.09) | 31.78% ( 0.12) | 24.22% ( 0.97) |
| Both teams to score 34.55% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 27.7% ( 0.13) | 72.3% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.33% ( 0.08) | 88.67% ( -0.08) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.63% ( -0.55) | 33.37% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30% ( -0.61) | 70% ( 0.61) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.85% ( 1.05) | 48.15% ( -1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.66% ( 0.76) | 83.34% ( -0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 17.63% ( -0.36) 2-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.34)2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.57% Total : 43.99% | 0-0 @ 16.06% ( -0.08) 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.24% Total : 31.77% | 0-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.28% Total : 24.22% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
