SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 36.23%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 1-0 (12.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Palmeiras |
34.61% ( -0.02) | 29.16% ( -0.02) | 36.23% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 44.4% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.61% ( 0.07) | 62.39% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.98% ( 0.05) | 82.02% ( -0.05) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.1% ( 0.02) | 33.9% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.43% ( 0.02) | 70.57% ( -0.02) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.17% ( 0.06) | 32.83% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.6% ( 0.07) | 69.4% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 1-0 @ 12.04% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.35% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 34.61% | 1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.16% | 0-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.22% |
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