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Copa Libertadores | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Oct 6, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Parque

Palmeiras
1 - 1
Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors win 4-2 on penalties
Piquerez (73')
Rony (15'), Gomez (40'), Veiga (43'), Endrick (83')
FT
(aet)
Cavani (23')
Almiron (16'), Rojo (51'), Fabra (69'), Figal (75'), Fernandez (76'), Romero (90+3'), Medina (90')
Rojo (66')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Palmeiras
Sunday, October 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-2 River Plate
Sunday, October 1 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division

We say: Palmeiras 1-0 Boca Juniors(Palmeiras advances 1-0 on aggregate)

Palestra are used to these pressure situations and have often found a way through, and the in-form shot-stopping ability of Weverton could make the difference in this tie where these two sides have been relatively even. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 18.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (7.04%).

Result
PalmeirasDrawBoca Juniors
57.24% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 24.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 18.15% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 44.1% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)56.32% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.65% (-0.012 -0.01)77.35% (0.012 0.01)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (0.0039999999999907 0)19.6% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)51.54% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.85% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)45.15% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.94% (-0.026 -0.03)81.05% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 57.23%
    Boca Juniors 18.15%
    Draw 24.6%
PalmeirasDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 14.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 6.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.08%
4-0 @ 2.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.07%
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 57.23%
1-1 @ 11.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.85% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 7.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 18.15%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Palmeiras
Sunday, October 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Palmeiras
Friday, September 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Palmeiras
Friday, September 22 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Goias
Saturday, September 16 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Palmeiras
Sunday, September 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-0 Dep. Pereira
Thursday, August 31 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-2 River Plate
Sunday, October 1 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Palmeiras
Friday, September 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-1 Lanus
Saturday, September 23 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: C. Cordoba 0-3 Boca Juniors
Tuesday, September 19 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-0 Boca Juniors
Friday, September 15 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-1 Tigre
Sunday, September 3 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division


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