SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 62.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 15.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Aldosivi |
62.09% ( -0.2) | 22.57% ( 0.17) | 15.34% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 44.39% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.04% ( -0.57) | 52.96% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.44% ( -0.49) | 74.56% ( 0.49) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.41% ( -0.27) | 16.59% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.6% ( -0.48) | 46.39% ( 0.48) |
| Aldosivi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.21% ( -0.29) | 46.78% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.67% ( -0.22) | 82.32% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Aldosivi |
| 1-0 @ 13.94% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.73% Total : 62.08% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.6% Total : 22.56% | 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.25% Total : 15.35% |
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