Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 48.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 22.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
