SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 62.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Union had a probability of 14.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Union |
62.64% ( -0.09) | 22.52% ( 0) | 14.83% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 43.38% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.32% ( 0.14) | 53.68% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.83% ( 0.11) | 75.17% ( -0.11) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.34% ( 0.02) | 16.65% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.49% ( 0.03) | 46.5% ( -0.03) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.05% ( 0.21) | 47.95% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.8% ( 0.15) | 83.19% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 14.31% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 12.82% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 62.63% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 14.83% |
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