Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
