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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Feb 1, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
S

Boca Juniors
1 - 1
Sarmiento

Merentiel (9')
Fernandez (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Sarmiento.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Platense 0-0 Boca Juniors
Saturday, January 27 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 0-0 Sarmiento
Thursday, January 25 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 53.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.16%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawSarmiento
53.99% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 27.43% (-0.099 -0.1) 18.58% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 38% (0.32100000000001 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.21% (0.358 0.36)64.79% (-0.351 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.26% (0.25 0.25)83.74% (-0.244 -0.24)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.51% (0.176 0.18)24.49% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.05% (0.244 0.24)58.95% (-0.238 -0.24)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.32% (0.308 0.31)49.68% (-0.304 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.56% (0.214 0.21)84.44% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 53.98%
    Sarmiento 18.58%
    Draw 27.42%
Boca JuniorsDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 17.11% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 12.04% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.65% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.041 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.99% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.38% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 53.98%
0-0 @ 12.16% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.95% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 8.51% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.19% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.98% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.98% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 18.58%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Platense 0-0 Boca Juniors
Saturday, January 27 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Talleres 1-2 Boca Juniors
Sunday, January 21 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Gimnasia y Tiro 0-1 Boca Juniors
Sunday, January 14 at 12am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 1-2 Boca Juniors
Monday, November 27 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Newell's OB
Sunday, November 12 at 7.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Boca Juniors
Wednesday, November 8 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 0-0 Sarmiento
Thursday, January 25 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Platense 1-0 Sarmiento
Saturday, November 25 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 0-0 Godoy Cruz
Monday, November 13 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-1 Sarmiento
Monday, November 6 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 0-0 San Lorenzo
Monday, October 30 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 2-1 Sarmiento
Monday, October 23 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division


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